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Vital Information Services (Pvt) Ltd.

Excellence in Credit Assessment Models Since 1994

Leading Credit Risk Assessment Solutions

Developing, testing, and validating credit assessment models for over 30 years. Our models determine probability of default for large, medium, and small entities across various industrial sectors.

About VIS

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Historical Milestones & Services

NEWS-MCB Index System

April 1995

Investor's Business & Financial Journal

August 1996 Investor's Business & Financial Journal Cover

VIS compiles and disseminates useful Stock Exchange data through the monthly tabloid of The News, called INVESTOR'S - A Business & Finance Journal. VIS also contributes company analyses, trading analysis, inflation analysis and articles on various subjects, in this publication, which is distributed free with 'The News'.

VISTA Plus Database

1998 VISTA Software Award Certificate - First Prize 1998

To assist credit/financial analysts in financial institutions and stock brokerage houses, VIS has developed a prize winning software, VISTA - VIS Total Analyst. VISTA puts the entire VIS database on corporate Pakistan at the disposal of analysts who can carry out their own analysis, prepare displays and hard-copy reports.

* Awarded First Prize 1998, in Business/Office type of software in Professional Category by Dr. A. Q. Khan Research Laboratories, Government of Pakistan.

The Journey: Innovation in Research

1994-1998
Innovation in Research - Click to view full brochure

📄 Click image to view full brochure (PDF)

VIS has continuously pioneered innovation in financial research and data services. From developing comprehensive financial databases to creating award-winning analytical software, VIS has broken time barriers in delivering critical market intelligence. Our journey includes developing unique products like the Household Inflation Index in collaboration with Applied Economic Research Centre, the Economic Monitor quarterly publication, and the innovative Confidence Barometer that tracks investor sentiment in the stock market.

Beyond Pakistan, VIS expanded internationally through joint ventures, including establishing DCR-VIS Credit Rating Company with Duff & Phelps Credit Rating Co. (USA) and expanding operations to Bangladesh through Credit Rating Information & Services Limited (CRISL). This journey of innovation has positioned VIS as a cornerstone of Pakistan's financial information infrastructure.

VIS Musharaka Investment Model gets Sharia approval

July 1998
Innovation in Research - Click to view full brochure

KARACHI: A group picture taken during the presentation of VIS Musharaka Investment Model. Sitting from left to right are: Faheem Ahmed, CEO, Vital Information Services, Dr. Abdulsattar Abu Ghuddah, Secretary General, Uni-fied Sharia Board, Financial Sector, Member of Islamic Fiqh Academy, Jeddah, Justice Taqi Usmani, Judge, Shariat Appellate Bench, Supreme Court of Pakistan, Dr. Mohammad Elgari, Director, Centre for Research in Islamic Eco-nomics, King Abdul Aziz University, Jeddah, Javed Mohammad, EVP and Chief Corporate Officer, Prime Commercial Bank. ~ The News photo

About Our Models

Pioneering Credit Assessment Since 1994

VISPL, the majority shareholder in VIS Credit Rating Company Limited, has developed comprehensive credit assessment models that are:

  • Continuously tested, validated and recalibrated
  • Universally adaptable across jurisdictions
  • Deployed in credit rating companies globally
  • Used as internal obligor risk rating systems in financial institutions
  • Based on multiple quantitative and qualitative variables
CAP/ROC Curves & Validation Results

Rigorous Validation Process

Our models undergo comprehensive validation following international regulatory standards including ESMA Guidelines (2017) and Basel Committee Working Papers.

📊 Discriminatory Power

  • Cumulative Accuracy Profile/Accuracy Ratio
  • ROC/Area Under the Curve
  • Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic
  • Cumulative Default Rates

🎯 Calibration

  • Binomial Distribution Test
  • Normal Test
  • Traffic Lights Analysis
  • Hosmer-Lemeshow Test

📈 Predictive Power

  • Brier Score Analysis
  • Forward-looking assessments
  • Probability accuracy metrics

🔄 Historical Robustness

  • 1 & 2 Year Transition Matrices
  • Upgrade/Downgrade Ratios
  • Population Stability Index
  • Univariate Analysis

Validation Results

Corporate Model

1-Year & 2-Year Rating Transition Matrices
PSX & S&P-500 Testing Results

SME Model

SME Credit Distribution
SME Default vs Scoring Grades

Key Features

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20+ Years of Data

Validations conducted on extensive datasets spanning over two decades

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Global Application

Models tested across different jurisdictions and licensed rating agencies

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SME Specialized

Separate treatment for SMEs considering legal and corporate structuring differences

ESMA Compliant

Following European Securities & Market Authority guidelines and Basel requirements

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VISTA Plus Database

Enhanced dataset using proprietary VISTA Plus database

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Academic Verification

Results verified by internationally renowned academicians

Academic Validation

Our validation process and generated results are verified by internationally renowned academicians, ensuring the highest standards of accuracy and reliability.

Academic Validation Certificate from University

Resume For

📄 Levent Guntay CV (PDF)